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The Miami Heat may have the benefit of extra rest heading into this matchup, but that advantage is overshadowed by their struggles against top-tier teams this season and a lengthy injury list that leaves them shorthanded. Meanwhile, the Cleveland Cavaliers, despite playing on the second night of a back-to-back, have been one of the most reliable teams in the league, racking up 51 wins and covering the spread 40 times this season. Their impressive 66.6 percent cover rate is the best in the NBA, and there’s little reason to fade them now.

Cleveland already dominated Miami on the road just over a month ago, securing a 20-point victory in a game where the Heat had more available bodies, including Jovic, Ware, and JJJ—none of whom will be on the floor this time. Given their consistency and ability to deliver against the spread, I’ll stick with the Cavaliers to keep cashing tickets as they’ve done better than any other team in the league this season. Take Cleveland ATS


NBA Basketball Picks
Wednesday, March 5th 2025 7:00 PM
Finished

NBA Basketball Cappers Picks for Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers with Cappers winnings percentage over 55% for the last 7 days:


LVSB Total 57 % Brad Francis 61 %

Spread
Money
Total
13.5 -105
617
O220.0 -110
-13.5 -115
-900
U220.0 -110


SPREAD
Miami Heat 13.5 (-105)
AVG SPREAD W%: 50 ROI: -4
Michael Briggs W%: 51 ROI: -2 Josh Schonwald W%: 49 ROI: -4 Bryan Power W%: 49 ROI: -7

SPREAD
Cleveland Cavaliers -13.5 (-115)
AVG SPREAD W%: 50 ROI: -4
Cole Shelton W%: 52 ROI: -3 Jacob Mitchell W%: 50 ROI: -3 Randy Chambers W%: 49 ROI: -7 Peter Tran W%: 49 ROI: -7 Ben Dezell W%: 51 ROI: -0 Kosty Insider Plays W%: 53 ROI: 2 Z Code System W%: 49 ROI: -5 Sports Picks Forum W%: 49 ROI: -7 Seth Orlemann W%: 49 ROI: -5 Brad Francis W%: 52 ROI: -7



MONEY
Miami Heat 617

MONEY
Cleveland Cavaliers -900

TOTAL
UNDER 220.0 (-110)
AVG UNDER W%: 49 ROI: -5
Eddie Picks and parlays W%: 47 ROI: -9 Ray Monohan W%: 51 ROI: -2

TOTAL
OVER 220.0 (-110)
AVG OVER W%: 50 ROI: -5
Cole Shelton W%: 52 ROI: -3 Jacob Mitchell W%: 50 ROI: -3 Craig Trapp W%: 49 ROI: -5 Z Code System W%: 49 ROI: -5 Seth Orlemann W%: 49 ROI: -5 LVSB Total W%: 48 ROI: -10